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5/5/08:
New Book released
More Harm than Good, my
latest book, co-authored with my colleague Michael Bellomo,
has just been released. With the hope of enhancing the debate
over health care, we review the core reasons for the very high cost,
yet relatively poor performance of the US healthcare system when
compared to other western countries. We believe that improvements
come from both systemic changes, well described at the end of the book,
and a better educated consumer who, in collaboration with her/his
physician weighs treatment choices; indeed, in a few recent
studies so-called "shared decision-making" has resulted in
better-informed patients often expressing preferences for less
aggressive (and certainly less expensive) care for a wide variety of
conditions. Thus, we provide a clear understanding of the common
chronic diseases in the US (those that are likely to affect most of us
or our loved ones at one time or another in our lives) so that
patient-centered rather than physician choices can more easily become
part of one's dialogue. Science-based evidence can further
enhance such decision-making if physicians are provided with incentives
to report outcomes in their practices, which are, in reality, natural
experiments whose valuable data currently goes unexploited.
More
Harm than Good was just reviewed by the Library Journal, not
exactly an easy sell when it comes to new books as this publication is
one that most libraries depend on in deciding how to allocate limited
resources for purchasing items for their collections. Their
review follows.
Zelicoff,
Alan, M.D., & Michael Bellomo. More Harm Than Good: What
Your Doctor May Not Tell You About Common Treatments and Procedures.
AMACOM: American Management Assn. May 2008. c.256p. index. ISBN
978-0-8144-0027-2. $24.
"As the costs of U.S. health care
continue to surge and quality remains
both highly variable and unevenly distributed, Zelicoff and Bellomo
(coauthors, Microbe) attempt to pinpoint the problems and offer some
solutions. They identify four key issues: consumers know too little
about the most common health problems; doctors often treat more by
habit than by applying evidence; evidence is often inadequate for good
decision making; and the financing of health care and the lack of
electronic records lead to excessive costs and less-than-optimum care.
They cite such examples as the inappropriate use of some screening
tests, which lead to the overtreatment of prostate cancer and
cardiovascular disease. Better understanding of statistics and evidence
by physicians and a national electronic database of treatment records
would provide a stronger evidence base and, in turn, result in a
reduction of costs and inappropriate treatment, their argument goes.
Clearly written and well documented, this book covers the same ground
as Shannon Brownlee's Overtreated: Why Too Much Medicine Is Making Us
Sicker and Poorer but with more emphasis on the need for better use of
evidence. Recommended for all public libraries".—Dick Maxwell, Porter
Adventist Hosp. Lib.,
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Microbe:
Are We Ready for the Next Plague?
Alan Zelicoff and Michael
Bellomo
ISBN: 0-8144-0865-6
Amacom, New York, NY, 2005
Excerpt
from a review published in the journal Emergining Infectious Diseases,
Vol 11(11): 2005, pg 1807 by Dr. Peter Jahrling.
"Microbe: Are We Ready for the Next Plague? by Alan
Zelicoff and
Michael Bellomo is a comprehensive, yet succinct, account
of the threat to public health posed by microbial
pathogens. What distinguishes this book from the surfeit of
recent books hyping the threat of bioterrorism are its
balanced perspective and elucidation of naturally emerging disease
threats, such as severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) or West
Nile virus, as exotic entities requiring a rapid and
effective response; Mother Nature is quite the bioterrorist
herself. Early recognition that an event has occurred is
key to containment of the nascent epidemic.
The unifying theme of the book is the importance of
syndrome-based surveillance in achieving this goal.
This book is the best of its genre and is recommended for anyone
interested in understanding and managing the risks
associated with emerging microbial threats."
Peter B. Jahrling
National Institutes of Health, Bethesda,
Maryland, USA |
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Web page last updated on 5/23/08
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For
those interested in my updated monograph "What is the risk of
a pandemic from Avian
Flu H5N1?", you may request
a copy via e-mail to: zalan8587@qwest.net or you may download it here.
There is no
charge; substantive comments are welcome. |
5/17/07:
The US Department of Energy has announced the re-instatement of
polygraphs at the national laboratories. See the link
on this
page for more details and an in-depth analysis of the diagnostic
utility (or more precisely the lack thereof) of polygraphs in the
national security setting. This is, in my view, a giant step
backwards for national secuirty and protection of vital secrets at the
national laboratories.
4/1/07: The Scientist
magazine has devoted the cover story of its April 2007 issue
to a critical evaluation of internet-based disease surveillance
systems, my primary research interest (see the Syndrome Reporting
Information System SYRIS
in the box on the right side of
this page.) In the main article entitled "Biosense or
Biononsense" widely-respected medical author Katherine
Eban critiques the CDC's multi-year effort to establish
hospital-based disease reporting (called BIOSENSE), and a companion
piece reviews the problems California has encountered in disease
surveillance -- most recently illustrated by the food-borne outbreak of
hemorrhagic E. Coli that killed three people and hospitalized many
people across the country before sufficient information could be
gathered to trace its source. The author documents, by
contrast, the successes and cost-effecitveness of SYRIS, which
has been in use in a large area of Texas for over four years including
during the Katrina
crisis where SYRIS was the only a real-time electronic disease
reporting system in use anywhere to aprise physicians, public health
officials and emergency planners on the status of evacuee health and
provide management advice. (A comprehensive review article
written by public health officials using SYRIS in Texas on a daily
basis may be found here.)
2/1/07: My colleague and co-author
Michael Bellomo and I ("Microbe: Are we Ready for the Next Plague" at
right) are pleased to announce that we have received a contract for a
follow-on book to MICROBE called "Doctor, Don't Just DO Something STAND
There" (AMACOM Books). Just as MICROBE focuses on the threats of
infectious diseases and the public health infrastructure that is
inadequately organized to gather and analyze fast-moving events when a
novel infectious agent strikes in the human or animal populations (and
provides easy, inexpensive, fully tested solutions to the failures of
public health at the national level), our new book reviews 40 years of
information on the rather absymal cost-effectiveness of modern
medical therapeutics and answers two important questions:
- why does the use of new medical
technology vary by a factor of 10 or more across the country, while
producing no evident differences in outcome for the most common
diseases?
- what can be done to make modern
medicine much more cost-effective while at the same time taking into
account patient preferences? We believe that simple practice
changes -- perhaps informed by a single-payer systems' database of
practice patterns -- would easily save hundreds of billions of dollars
in our existing, wasteful healthcare system. As the population
ages, public policy decisions that follow the carefully gathered data
of the past 4 decades will become ever more important in wisely
spending our medical resources.
12/1/06:
A new version of my on-line book "Saving Energy without Derision" is
nearly complete (the current version is clickable in the upper right
hand corner of this page). New and updated sections include:
- The arrival of the plug-in
hybrid (and a truly practical electric) car: long predicted, finally in
sight
- Energy price rises: the
predicted and the predictable (or why photovoltaic electricity probably
makes sense on your home)
- How small behavioral changes
saves big, big money
- The "embodied" energy in all
the things we buy and consume, including some rather surprising
revelations about the energy costs of various foods and how modest
changes in your dietary choices can lower your energy footprint (and
probably improve your health as well)
- Expanded chapters on the
overlap of energy, politics and national security.
All previous purchasers are entitled
to the new version for free. Please let me know by e-mail if
you'd like to receive a copy (I'd like to avoid a broad-area
e-mail)8/25/05: My latest book on the threat of new diseases,
entitled "Microbe: Are we ready for the next plague?" has been an
Amazon "best seller" in the medical sciences category. It is
written, not as a dry science book, but rather for the intelligent lay
(non-medical expert) reader who is interested in the problem of
emerging diseases and the inherent problems in our public health system
(including, most probably, the public health office nearest you).
My co-author (Michael Bellomo) and I haven't written a hysterical book
based on scaring readers with one more claim that the sky is falling
(there are too many people who have already done that without helping
to address the program). Rather, we describe the problems in
clear, jargon-free terms and propose a solution as well.
You can click on the icon below to read about and buy the book. Richard Preston, author of The Hot Zone
writes: "Microbe is a fascinating book. Zelicoff and
Bellomo have written one of the very best discussions of emerging
infections in a decade -- it's beautifully researched and sharply
intelligent, at times blessedly combatitive. This book is very
much needed."
And, medical writer Gretchen Smith of Michigan has reviewed the book as
well:
"Well-researched, covering
emerging microbial unknowns and previous microbial agents that are
making a re-appearance. Emphasis on how ill-prepared we are to deal
with rapidly changing bacterial, viral and biological agents able to
mutate quickly, leaving us at odds with how to quanantine and treat
large populations at risk. Vaccines take far too long to develop, and
in a global community, a visit by Avian influenza could be devastating.
Two very interesting scenarios show the scope of two different
pathogens, and their ability to impact not only health and the health
care system, but to impact much of the infrastructure essential to
fighting contagious disease -- lack of coordinated first responders,
impact on energy, police, and countering the fear factor. As a medical
writer, this is one of the best books I've read this year".
8/7/05:
Regarding my new book (see link above): "Microbe: Are we ready for the
next plague?" my co-author Michael
Bellomo and I have been interviewed on the NPR program "Tech Nation", hosted by the
incisive and very well-prepared Dr. Moira Dunn.
We did the interview at KQED (San Francisco) in early July 2005 and you
can listen to the entire interview on line here
(and, if you wish you can download the entire program in .mp3
format). The program will also be heard on NPR stations across
the country in coming weeks. "Tech Nation" is an very well
regarded program with an unusual interesting demographic: about 40% of
the listeners are female -- which is HIGHLY unusual for a "tech"
program. In addition, another streaming audio interview from
Univeristy of Illinois NPR station (WILL-AM) is available in .mp3 or RealAudio
format. The interviewer is Celeste Quinn, and she too was very
well prepared and asked difficult -- but critical -- questions.
5/5/05: A practical energy conservation
book (that will surely pay for itself in a month if you follow the
simplest of the recommendations) is available by clicking here
(and please let me know what you think so the next editions can reflect
your needs):
My special
thanks to Jim Stadnyck of Point
of View Photography for design of this webpage.
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ICQ# 21627838 |
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AIM or iChat Screen name:
apzelic |
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Skype
name: apzelic
(You might be able to find me if I'm online
and where I am by clicking here)
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